A Mathematical model for the diffusion of Coronavirus 19 among the Italian population

A Mathematical model for the diffusion of Coronavirus 19 among the Italian population

Abstract

In this document, I propose a distribution for the number of infected subjects in Italy during the outbreak of Coronavirus 19. To do that I find a logistic curve for the number of deaths due to this virus, in Italy. I also use a density of probability for the fatality rate and one for the number of days from infection to death. These functions have been built using recently published statistical data on the Chinese outbreak.   

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